At a press convention on Monday during which Reform UK introduced the Tory police and crime commissioner for Leicestershire and Rutland was becoming a member of their ranks, in addition to former jail governor Vanessa Frake, I requested Nigel Farage a easy query.
However his reply wasn’t what I anticipated.
I requested the Reform UK chief if the six-week marketing campaign on regulation and order, with the tagline “Britain is Lawless”, was the truth is mission concern scaring folks into voting for his occasion.
He totally rejected that declare and responded to me saying: “No, they’re afraid. They’re afraid. I dare you, I dare you to stroll by means of the West Finish of London after 9 o’clock of a night sporting jewelry. You would not do it. You understand that I am proper. You would not do it.”
I’m not afraid to stroll within the West Finish of London after 9pm sporting jewelry.
I’ve performed it many instances earlier than and can proceed to take action… however maybe that’s as a result of I don’t personal a Rolex.
Nevertheless, simply because Farage is improper on that time, doesn’t suggest he is not tapping into different respectable fears throughout the nation.
Snatch theft does fear me, therefore why I now have a telephone case with a strap connected to it that I can put round my physique.
And I fear about knife crime in my space and what the influence might be if I have been to have kids – on the weekend somebody was stabbed to dying a stone’s throw from my home.
Nevertheless, if we have a look at the statistics, it’s invariably a extra nuanced image than Farage or social media may need us consider.
In response to police stories, thefts from a person in London are almost five times the national average, they usually’ve been going up because the pandemic.
And the Workplace for Nationwide Statistics (ONS) additionally notes that thefts outdoors of the house, eg telephone snatching, has increased.
Nevertheless, possession of weapons has fallen in London by 29% over the past three years.
And in keeping with the ONS, crime in England and Wales is 30% decrease than in 2015, and 76% decrease than 1995.
And it’s a comparable image for violent crime.
Briefly, am I proper to be extra frightened that snatch theft and knife crime in London is growing? Sure, and no.
However Nigel Farage is tapping into voters’ feelings – their emotions that the nation is damaged. It is a image the Conservative Party helped to create and the Labour Party fortunately painted to nice impact throughout the common election marketing campaign of 2024.
And the extra politicians of all colors inform voters that “the system is damaged”, the extra voters may begin to consider them.
That’s what Nigel Farage is banking on.