This text is an on-site model of our FirstFT e-newsletter. Subscribers can signal as much as our Asia, Europe/Africa or Americas version to get the e-newsletter delivered each weekday morning. Discover all of our newsletters here
Immediately’s agenda: Israel-Iran truce; Russian shadow crypto funds; New York mayoral race; oil markets shrug off Center East tumult; and St Paul’s Cathedral 350th 12 months in footage
Good morning. We begin with the Nato summit right this moment, as world leaders gathered at The Hague brace themselves for Donald Trump. Right here’s what to anticipate.
What did Trump say? The US president has sparked alarm by telling reporters that Washington’s dedication to Nato’s Article 5, which refers to its mutual defence pact, “relies on your definition”. Trump stated there have been “quite a few definitions” of Article 5. “I’m dedicated to being their pals. I’m going to provide you an actual definition after I get there.”
Why it issues: The US is irreplaceable as a Nato member, with many European international locations relying on American arms and intelligence belongings. The summit rests on what Trump decides, officers say, with the whole assembly “fastidiously choreographed” to keep away from scary him. Nato secretary-general Mark Rutte has additionally praised Trump for making Europe “pay in a BIG way”, referring to a defence spending goal of 5 per cent of GDP. Trump has beforehand threatened to solely defend allies that spend extra on defence.
What to look out for: Aside from whether or not Trump waters down safety commitments for Europe, Spain’s resistance to spending extra on defence has additionally undermined efforts amongst Nato members to show unity. Whereas many allies together with Germany, France and the UK have dedicated to assembly Trump’s new goal, Spain has secured an opt-out, rising the probability of a conflict on the summit. Trump has known as it a “drawback” and stated it was “very unfair to the remainder of the individuals”.
Here’s more on what to expect at today’s gathering.
-
Europe shouldn’t go it alone: Engaged on defence production along with the US is important to mutual safety, writes former US defence secretary Lloyd Austin.
And right here’s what else we’re protecting tabs on right this moment:
-
Financial knowledge: France has its client confidence survey for this month.
-
Outcomes: Babcock, Common Mills, Halfords, Liontrust and Micron report earnings.
-
Glastonbury: The most important greenfield music and performing arts pageant on the earth begins in Somerset, England.
Be part of FT consultants and visitors for a subscriber-only webinar at 1pm BST right this moment as they focus on the Center East battle and what it means for the world. Register for free.
5 extra high tales
1. The US air strikes on Iran set again Tehran’s nuclear progress by lower than six months, in accordance with an early US intelligence evaluation, casting doubt on Trump’s claims that the programme had been “obliterated”. The findings have been furiously rejected by the White Home, which stated they have been leaked by “an anonymous, low-level loser in the intelligence community”.
-
Fragile truce: The president lashed out at each Israel and Iran as he tried to protect the shaky ceasefire he brokered in a flurry of telephone diplomacy.
-
A brand new Center East: The US and Israeli marketing campaign to defang Iran might herald a fresh era of instability for the area.
-
The ‘12-day struggle’: Trump’s evocation of the reminiscence of the six-day struggle of 1967 is double-edged, writes Gideon Rachman.
2. The UK is ready to purchase US-made jets that may carry nuclear weapons, Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer is ready to announce right this moment on the Nato summit. Underneath the plans, Britain will be a part of the army alliance’s airborne nuclear mission, and the 12 F-35 stealth fighters are anticipated to hold American atomic bombs. Here’s more on the sweeping defence overhaul.
-
US-UK ties: A majority of Britons view the US as a “serious threat” to safety after the election of Trump, in accordance with a current survey.
3. Unique: A brand new cryptocurrency token designed to permit cross-border funds regardless of western sanctions on Russia, launched by a fugitive Moldovan oligarch and a Russian defence sector financial institution, has moved some $9.3bn on a devoted crypto change in simply 4 months because it was launched, the FT has discovered. Read the full story.
4. Unique: EDF might promote some belongings beneath a portfolio evaluate as its boss seeks to satisfy French authorities calls for to deal with new nuclear reactors. Individuals with data of the matter stated Bernard Fontana instructed insiders he needed to evaluate which belongings weren’t worthwhile or didn’t match with the state-owned energy group’s strategic priorities.
5. OpenAI and Sir Jony Ive have been accused of making an attempt to “bury” a rival start-up that compelled their $6.4bn AI system enterprise to drag down advertising supplies. The chief government of iyO stated he had been “blindsided” by the launch of io, OpenAI’s partnership with Apple’s former design chief, as each firms had previously been in deal talks with his similarly named start-up.
Information in-depth

For not less than three a long time, Iran’s supreme chief Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and the hardline centres of energy that encompass him have resisted structural reforms. However the surprising repercussions of Israel and the US’s assault imply {that a} shift in path now appears inevitable, analysts say, setting into movement what could possibly be the most consequential changes since the 1979 Islamic revolution.
We’re additionally studying . . .
-
HSBC: The financial institution’s newest reorganisation has arguably left it with few options to spice up income because it faces commerce tariffs and decrease rates of interest.
-
Deal starvation: US banking mergers will accelerate over the following 12 months, executives predict, pushed by a extra beneficial method from regulators.
-
Ukrainian refugees: Robust labour markets and insurance policies have helped these fleeing Russia’s invasion to succeed in other countries, writes Sarah O’Connor.
-
New York vote: Former governor Andrew Cuomo has conceded to progressive rival Zohran Mamdani, in a mayoral race that has highlighted a rift in the Democratic party.
Chart of the day
As Iran began firing missiles at a US air base in Qatar on Monday, oil merchants responded with exceptional velocity — not by shopping for, however by promoting. Many observers have been stunned on the velocity of the sell-off, in a market that usually surges at any signal of geopolitical strife. Here’s why traders shrugged off the Middle East tumult.

Take a break from the information
To have a good time the 350th anniversary of St Paul’s, the FT’s Charlie Bibby was allowed unprecedented entry to its internal workings. Our chief photographer reveals the unsung heroes who make the world-famous London cathedral tick.
